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College Basketball Tourney Bubble Watch: 2-11-14 PDF Print E-mail
Written by Chris Canada   
Tuesday, 11 February 2014

The regular season is now fully into the meat of the conference schedules. We are now five weeks away from selection Sunday. Remember, there are 68 spots available, comprised of 32 automatic bids to conference champions and 36 at-large bids. Here is a comprehensive look at the major leagues in Division-I (rankings are current AP poll)...

From the results that follow, we predict that at this point 48 bids are safe, which includes 32 auto-bids and 16 at-large bids. This means that there are TWENTY remaining bids that will go to the ''bubble'' teams that we have listed below. A lot can change over the next five weeks...

 

Projected Conference Champs - Locks (11 Bids)

American: #10 Cincinnati
Atlantic-10: #12 St. Louis
ACC: #1 Syracuse
Big 12: #7 Kansas
Big East: #6 Villanova
Big Ten: #9 Michigan State
MVC: #4 Wichita State
Mountain West: #5 San Diego State
Pac-12: #2 Arizona
SEC: #3 Florida
West Coast: #27 Gonzaga
 

Projected Conference Champs - Must Win Conference (19 Bids)

America East: Vermont or Stony Brook
Atlantic Sun: Mercer or Florida Gulf Coast
Big Sky: Weber State
Big South: Virginia Military or Coastal Carolina
Big West: UC Irvine or UC Santa Barbara
Colonial: Delaware
Horizon: Green Bay or Cleveland State
MAAC: Iona
MAC: Akron or Toledo
MEAC: North Carolina Central
Northeast: Robert Morris or Bryant
Ohio Valley: Belmont or Murray State
Patriot: Boston or American
Southern: Davidson
Southland: #32 Stephen F. Austin
SWAC: Southern
Summit: North Dakota State or IPFW
Sun Belt: Georgia State
WAC: Utah Valley
 

Projected Conference Champs - On Bubble If Upset (2 Bid)

Conference USA: #30t Southern Miss
Ivy: Harvard

At-Large - Locks (16 Teams)

American: #13 Louisville
ACC: #17 Virginia, #25 Pittsburgh, #8 Duke
Big 12: #19 Texas, #11 Iowa State, #29 Oklahoma State, #26 Oklahoma
Big East: #18 Creighton
Big Ten: #15 Michigan, #16 Iowa, #21 Wisconsin, #22 Ohio State
Mountain West: New Mexico
Pac-12: #28 UCLA
SEC: #14 Kentucky
 

At-Large - On Bubble (42 Teams for 20 spots)

American: #20 Memphis, #24 Connecticut, #23 Southern Methodist
Atlantic-10: VCU, #30t George Washington, Massachusetts, St Joseph's, Richmond, Dayton
ACC: #33t North Carolina, NC State, Clemson, Maryland, Florida State
Big 12: #33t Kansas State, West Virginia, Baylor
Big East: Xavier, Providence, Georgetown, Marquette, St Johns
Big Ten: Indiana, Minnesota
Conference USA: UTEP, Louisiana Tech, Middle Tennessee
MVC: Indiana State
Mountain West: UNLV
Pac-12: Colorado, Oregon, California, #33t Arizona State, Stanford, Utah
SEC: Missouri, LSU, Ole Miss, Tennessee, Georgia
WCC: BYU, St. Mary's

Bubble Recap

To recap, the bubble has TWENTY spots for 42 teams with realistic chances as of now. The available spots could shrink if some projected conference champs do not win their conference tournaments. If Auto-Bid bubble teams do not win their conference tournaments, they will be added to this list.

Current bubble teams include (in order):

#20 Memphis
#24 Connecticut
Massachusetts
Xavier
-----------------------------------------
#33t North Carolina
VCU
#33t Kansas State
California
-----------------------------------------
Tennessee
Minnesota
#30t George Washington
Colorado
-----------------------------------------
Providence
#23 Southern Methodist
Missouri
#33t Arizona State
-----------------------------------------
BYU
Stanford
Florida State
LSU
 
------------------------------------------------------------------- CUT LINE

Oregon
Indiana
Ole Miss
Richmond
-----------------------------------------
Clemson
Georgetown
Baylor
St Joseph's
-----------------------------------------
Louisiana Tech
West Virginia
Maryland
St Johns
-----------------------------------------
UNLV
St. Mary's
Indiana State
Middle Tennessee
-----------------------------------------
Utah
Dayton
NC State
Marquette
-----------------------------------------
UTEP
Georgia

 

Last Updated ( Tuesday, 11 February 2014 )
 
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