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College Basketball Tourney Bubble Watch: 2-24-14 PDF Print E-mail
Written by Chris Canada   
Monday, 24 February 2014

The regular season is now fully into the meat of the conference schedules. We are now four weeks away from selection Sunday. Remember, there are 68 spots available, comprised of 32 automatic bids to conference champions and 36 at-large bids. Here is a comprehensive look at the major leagues in Division-I (rankings are current AP poll)...

From the results that follow, we predict that at this point 54 bids are safe, which includes 32 auto-bids and 22 at-large bids. This means that there are FOURTEEN remaining bids that will go to the ''bubble'' teams that we have listed below. A lot can change over the next four weeks...

Projected Conference Champs - Locks (11 Bids)

American: #7 Louisville
Atlantic-10: #10 St. Louis
ACC: #4 Syracuse
Big 12: #5 Kansas
Big East: #8 Villanova
Big Ten: #14 Wisconsin
MVC: #2 Wichita State
Mountain West: #13 San Diego State
Pac-12: #3 Arizona
SEC: #1 Florida
West Coast: #31t Gonzaga
 

Projected Conference Champs - Must Win Conference (17 Bids)

America East: Vermont or Stony Brook
Atlantic Sun: Mercer or Florida Gulf Coast
Big Sky: Weber State
Big South: Virginia Military or Coastal Carolina
Big West: UC Irvine or UC Santa Barbara
Colonial: Delaware
MAAC: Iona
MAC: Ohio or Toledo
MEAC: #33 North Carolina Central
Northeast: Robert Morris
Ohio Valley: Belmont or Murray State
Patriot: Boston
Southern: Davidson
SWAC: Alabama State
Summit: North Dakota State
Sun Belt: Georgia State
WAC: New Mexico State
 

Projected Conference Champs - On Bubble If Upset (4 Bids)

Conference USA: Southern Miss
Horizon: #31t Green Bay
Ivy: Harvard
Southland: #29 Stephen F. Austin
 

At-Large - Locks (22 Teams)

American: #11 Cincinnati, #21 Memphis, #26 Connecticut, #23 Southern Methodist
Atlantic-10: VCU, George Washington, #30 Massachusetts
ACC: #12 Virginia, #6 Duke, #19 North Carolina
Big 12: #24 Texas, #15 Iowa State, #28 Oklahoma, Kansas State
Big East: #9 Creighton
Big Ten: #16 Michigan, #20 Iowa, #18 Michigan State, #22 Ohio State
Mountain West: #25 New Mexico
Pac-12: #27 UCLA
SEC: #17 Kentucky
 

At-Large - On Bubble (39 Teams for 14 spots)

Atlantic-10: St Joseph's, Richmond, Dayton
ACC: Pittsburgh, NC State, Clemson, Maryland, Florida State
Big 12: Oklahoma State, West Virginia, Baylor
Big East: Xavier, Providence, Georgetown, Marquette, St Johns
Big Ten: Nebraska, Minnesota, Purdue, Indiana
Conference USA: UTEP, Louisiana Tech, Middle Tennessee
MVC: Indiana State
Mountain West: UNLV, Wyoming, Boise State
Pac-12: Colorado, Oregon, California, Arizona State, Stanford
SEC: Missouri, LSU, Tennessee, Georgia, Arkansas
WCC: BYU, St. Mary's
 

Bubble Recap

To recap, the bubble has FOURTEEN spots for 39 teams with realistic chances as of now. The available spots could shrink if some projected conference champs do not win their conference tournaments. If Auto-Bid bubble teams do not win their conference tournaments, they will be added to this list.

Current bubble teams include (in order):

Pittsburgh
California
 
-----------------------------------------
 
Baylor
Colorado
Xavier
Arizona State
 
-----------------------------------------
 
Stanford
Missouri
St Joseph's
Oklahoma State
 
-----------------------------------------
 
Minnesota
St Johns
BYU
Tennessee
 
----------------------------------------- CUT LINE
 
Providence
Oregon
Dayton
Florida State
 
-----------------------------------------
 
Richmond
Georgetown
Nebraska
LSU
 
-----------------------------------------
 
Marquette
Clemson
West Virginia
Louisiana Tech
 
-----------------------------------------
 
Boise State
Georgia
Arkansas
NC State
 
-----------------------------------------
 
Indiana State
UNLV
St. Mary's
Maryland
 
-----------------------------------------
 
Middle Tennessee
Purdue
Indiana
UTEP
Wyoming
 
Last Updated ( Monday, 24 February 2014 )
 
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